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ESPN Eliminator Challenge is one of the easiest and most popular games to play this NFL season. The rules are simple: Choose one team and as long as they win (or tie), move to the next round. If they lose, you’re out. The only warning is that you can’t choose the same team twice.
Last season, it was as hard as we’ve ever seen for the eliminator. Almost 95% of last season entry was eliminated on Sunday 4, because large favorites are lost at unprecedented rate. Each favorite of at least touchdown lost it completely in that range.
So, did we learn anything from last year? Of course not. In the long run, the biggest favorites tend to win the most, despite the early results last season.
One benefit from last season could be a larger allocation between choosing this week. No teams are more than 18% selected this week, which means there is no obvious deletion team for the purpose of influence.
Top game this week will be the most popular game: The Denver Broncos. However, several other teams also make sense. The Philadelphia Eagles They have a similar victory for the victory of Bronkos. The Cincinnati Bengals and Washington Commander It may have the best combination of the probability of profit and lack of future value. And there are several more logical plays down board, including Arizona Cardinal, New England Patriots and Jacksonville Jaguars.
Eliminator Eliminator Mike Clay
1. Denver Broncos (vs. Tennessee Titans)
Broncos are the most obvious choice of the week 1, as well as Mike Clay and ESPN Analytics give the greatest chance to win a week. ESPN Analytics also has it as their easiest game all the season, although will have a complaint on home and toy matches later in the season. Denver is a hard place for Cam ward To make his first career start and Rookie Troend Backs is 1-9-1 on Sunday 1 from 2019. years. Broncos will be crete, but cannot be avoided as a top choice on the board.
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Mike Clay Chance to win: 75%
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ESPN Analytics Chance to win: 70%
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ESPN Bet line: Broncos -7.5 (-400 Moneiline)
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Eliminator Challenge: 18% is selected
2. Washington Commander (vs. New York Giants)
This is the easiest games of Washington in accordance with ESPN Analytics, and Commander are the third largest favorites in the week. There are few merit to save them, because Mike Clay in the US 3 Sunday 3 weeks after weeks, the commanders were merit that they were a Mike Clay of the week by the weekday of Sunday. Las Vegas Raiders. However, despite the commanders that Team 8. years, according to ESPN analytics, there are not so many obvious choices to choose, so this week makes sense.
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Mike Clay Chance to win: 68%
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ESPN Analytics Chance to win: 69%
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ESPN Bet line: Commander -6.5 (-260 Moneiline)
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Eliminator Challenge: Selected 13%
3. Philadelphia Eagles (vs. Dallas Cowboys)
The eagles are the largest favorite in every metric here this week. They passed the cowboys last season with two victories in victory and won five of the last six meetings in Philadelphia. The biggest reason not to use them is that they are favored in 17 out of 18 games this season, according to ESPN analytics, so there will be many opportunities to use them.
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Mike Clay Chance to win: 70%
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ESPN Analytics Chance to win: 69%
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ESPN Bet line: Eagles -7.5 (-360 Moneiline)
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Eliminator Challenge: 15% selected
4. Cincinnati Bengals (on Cleveland Browns)
Fading Browns will probably become a connection of this column and do it in a week 1 is sustainable. This is the easiest match of Cincinnati to 18. week, according to Mike, so if you want Bengals, there’s no reason to save them. However, Bengals were 1-11 in the first two weeks in the season over the past six years and, historical, divisional division fest favorites in the early season are a bad bet. If you can cross those trends, Bengali make sense given your victory and future schedule.
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Mike Clay Chance to win: 73%
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ESPN Analytics Chance to win: 65%
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ESPN Bet line: Bengals -5.5 (-250 Moneiline)
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Eliminator Challenge: 8% is selected
5. Arizona Cardinal (on New Orleans Saints)
Cardinals have three matches with at least 65% chance of winning, towards Mike clay, and all three are in the first five games, including this week. The sans evaluate as the worst team in the NFL according to ESPN analytics, so it is targeted by their opponent every week, starting a week. However, be careful with the cardinals, because in the last season of 2021. Years.
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Mike Clay Chance to win: 68%
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ESPN Analytics Chance to win: 69%
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ESPN Bet line: Cardinals -6.5 (-280 Moneiline)
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Eliminator Challenge: 10% selected
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6. Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. Carolina Panthers)
This is a top contrain game of the week, because Jaguari are only 3.5 pages of favorites. They have few future values, because their easiest games are the entire season on paper towards Mike Glina, and that is the easiest to 18. weeks according to ESPN analytics. Jaguars are more risky than most other teams on this list, but ESPN Analytics still gives them the fifth best chance to win and they will be minimally selected.
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Mike Clay Chance to win: 60%
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ESPN Analytics Chance to win: 61%
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ESPN Bet line: Jaguars -3.5 (-195 Moneiline)
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Eliminator Challenge: 3% is selected
7. New England Patriots (vs Las Vegas Raiders)
This is one of the greatest deviations between Mike Glina and ESPN Analytics models’. The clay gives Patriots 73% chance of winning, while the ESPN analytical model is only 52%. If you are high on patriots like Mike clay, they are attractive about 2% selection. However, patriots continue to host Cleveland Browns, New York Jets, Carolina Panthers and New York Giants Later in the season, so there will be a lot of chance to use new England, especially if Drake Maie and the company moves forward.
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Mike Clay Chance to win: 73%
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ESPN Analytics Chance to win: 52%
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ESPN Bet line: Patriots -2.5 (-145 Moneiline)
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Eliminator Challenge: 2% chosen
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