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Pamela Maldonado
Sunday 1 did not just mock with a board, he was writing a betting room. Heisman Trophy race saw massive swings, with favorites that climb and new names, while the national image title remains blurry as always.
LSU has made noise, Texas, and Survivor State, but no one separated from the pack. Between the growing quirth, fading narrative and shifting the chance, the future of the future looks widely open, if you know where to buy.
The greatest line of Trophy Heismman is going after 1 week
Garrett Nusmemeier: +800 
Last week: (+900)
Nussmeier officially moved to the top of Heishman’s board after the LSU was winning over Clemson, but I don’t buy. The market responds to victory, not an individual performance of Nussmeier, and that is important when it is in the map assessment tickets.
Nussmeier was effective, completed 28 of 38 goes 230 meters and touchdown, but the advanced metric show did not win this game because of its trimes. His passage EPA accompanied in -0.09, which means that his performance was neutral at best from the point of view of efficiency. LSU generated only two explosive passing plays all the games, which is the same as Clemson.
Instead of emphasizing throwing or moments that change the game through the air, the LSU controlled pace, avoided mistakes and let the defense set the defense.
That defense was choking, holding Clemson at just 1.2 meters per hurry, while forcing Cade Clubnik in the long third falls. LSU is not required to take over because the defense controlled the game at the beginning.
Pam’s Takeaway: This was a victory in LSU, but it is a team identity, not hesmen-valuable performance from Usmemayer. He loves her up, but if I’m buying Hishman ticket, I want Quarterbak to put the team on the back. I don’t see a vision after 1. Week. For now, this is a passage until it shows that it can raise the LSU outside the system.
Bow manž: +2000
Last week: +650 (Favorites)
Shift refers to perception as much as it is about production. Manning ended 17-30 for 170 meters, 1 TD and 1 Int, but the deeper question was efficiency. Three-quarters, the Texas Attack does not exist and does not exist and MANNNING struggled with weather, deciding and pushing the ball down.
But it wasn’t all on it. Conservative reproduction of Steve Sarkisian, Cross-Zone Cross and Failed KB Snipe is a limited possibility for “Heishman moments”. The reaction of the market reflects skepticism that the offense of Texas can show turned to Manning’s upside down against elite defense.
Pam’s Takeaway: The purchase of +2000 now comes down to a belief in progression. If you think Texas opens a playbook, the schedule softens the fourth quarter in the fourth quarter (105 meters and TD) is a sign of growth, there is value in capturing diplata. If not, the number could be further waived by another rough excursion. It is a volatility game: +2000 in doubt, but the road is not closed. That’s not for me.
Carson Beck +1200 vs. Lanorris Sellers +1000
Last week: +1800 and +1600, respectively
I imagined these two together, because every one of 1 week three weeks ago, I wrote about the new Miami Quarterback Bek as an intriguing long on +2000. The narrative checked each box: Georgian transmission switches to the system adapted to the apartment, a new beginning after injury and a cultured schedule that could put it in position to produce.
After Miamii’s week won the notread ladies, his chances were shortened, while the sellers of South Caroline moved and. If you shop today, which quartbac has a better case?
Beck’s Hi Score won’t drive anyone, 20-Os-31 for 205 meters and two touchdown, but contextual things. He faced five defense of Notre Dame that suffocated explosive performances last season and 65% of its passages with zero revers have been completed. Miami leaned on a balanced attack with 37 rush attempts, and Beck was cleaned by the game plan. So I’m not ready to fire him, because against the weaker secondary, a vertical game passing in the passage is to open. If Miami decides to lean on him, Beck’s number can quickly climb.
Meanwhile, the sellers meanwhile glistened at the peak against Virginia Tech: 209 crossing the yard at only 19 attempts, touchdown of 64 yards and scored results. He published an elite 10.96 meters per paste with an explosive speed of passage. But he also faced a far soft defense.
Pam’s Takeaway: If you buy today, the sellers have a higher short-term ceiling, because the foul of South Carolina is already designed to show it. But Beck has more space for growth. His narrative, ACC schedule and Miami’s unused offensive potential make him a smart long-term ticket … if the hurricanes put the ball into their hands.
Quotas for the winners of the State Championship
After 1. The week, it is difficult to feel confident in any national candidate for the name. No one gave a statement or separated. If nothing else, the week has stepped up more questions than answers.
State Ohio (+600) Presear was my strongest skinny and nothing about the week of 1 changes that, but it didn’t even strengthen the case either. The defense looks real, keeping Texas at just seven points, but the offense never found a rhythm, leaning to situations stops to escape. She adores her still there, but the playing game must improve if they want to be a team.
Penn State (+600) Is “dominant”, set 46 points and 438 meters, but Nevada is not a measuring stick. Drew everything It seemed a clean, the passing game was effective and the defense controlled the spinner line. But we didn’t learn anything new.
Georgia (+750) He had 45-7 victory over the marshal that was exactly true, mismatch. They ran almost 240 meters and guarded a playbook simple. We did not receive a true test whether this offense could grow the field against real defenses, leaving the bulldogs as an incomplete image at the moment.
Texas (+750) Did my preseason fade, and the loss of 14-7 in Ohio State reinforces why. They had the opportunity, but they couldn’t finish discs, go to 5-for 14 on the third decline and turned it late. The defense kept them in it, but the offense did not show the creativity of the level of the playoffs.
LSU (+900)Even in an upset victory over Clemson, was not convincing. The start match swallowed 3.5 meters on wear, and the games passing was not dynamic. Good victory, but nothing dominant.
No one made a statement of the week. If you had a condemnation on Ohio State before the season, you can keep it, but there is no reason to skip in these prices. It’s currently waiting and see.
Collage bookmakers: Alabama -240 miss playoffs
In my first 25 predictions, the preseason +125 faded on Alabama was sharp. AT -240 is still played. This list has real flaws (O-Line, KB consistency, defensive front depth).
The most beautiful question was in the trenches. Alabama has collected only 65 hustles at 28, average 2.3 per attempt, and are inefficient EPA standards. The offensive line struggled to create movement and without a consistent starting game, the passage of attack was forced to unpleasant volumes, 43 attempts only 5.9 meters per throwing.
This inefficiency tells you that the recipients did not separate and the quartback does not deliver consistently down. That things get worse, a Star receiver Ryan Williams It is now in the protocol for the concussion.
Defensively, Alabama also lost the battle above. State Florida took off 214 hastels at 5.4 meters per carry, and that came with a renewed offensive line and returning return. Grima tide could not get away with the blocks, and the lines were spent. If the FSU’s new group can push them around, what happens against Tennessee or Georgian offensive line?
Adding penalties – eight for 70 meters – and watch a team that is undisciplined, inconsistent and is no longer physically dominant. These flaws make another loss, maybe two, they feel inevitable.
If you are comfortable laying juice, yes, it’s still buying, but it’s no longer a game with a tall ceiling. It’s more bankroll anchors than a sharp edge.
