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Neil Paine
VNBA Season 2025. years full of injuries.
Toward Seeker injury to IX Basketball117 players have so far missed combined 868 games, including some of the players at the highest league profile: Breanna Stewart, Caitlin Clark, Napheesa Collier, Jonkuel Jones, Jordin Canada and Rhine Howard have each missed two-digit competition. A’ja Wilson and Alissa Thomas And they also missed their fist.
Courtney Vandersloot, Batnijah Lanei-Hamilton, Kayla Thornton, Katie Lou Samuelson, Georgia Amoore And some players in fever – Sophie Cunningham, Aari McDonald and Sydney Colson – It won’t be back this season. But some of the biggest stars have already returned, and they are more expected as well as post-season approaches.
What teams for playoffs or hope hope to see the greatest reinforcement as a result?
We reviewed franchises with the first six chances to win the championship, according to ELO Model forecast based on the base – Ris, dream, Aces, freedom, alive and fever – to compare their chances of the title and A simple assessment system (SRS) Ratings with what both marks should progress after adjusting rating for missed key players games. We assessed and how much each team states to get with players who greeted – or expected to greet before or during playoffs – using Estimated Raptor Rating To calculate how many points their presence is worth differentials about games points.
Status: Repaid 24. August (ankle)
Recording in the absence of games: 7-3
SRS against leave in relation to Collier: +9.43 vs. +10.64
Home Chances after adjusting Collier perseverance: 58.8% compared to 68%
RIS did not have many injuries during this charming season as a league front-runners with Karlie Samuelson – Who had a surgery for rolling the season in July in July – that the only second-noticated contribution was to miss a significant number of games. But when one of several injuries is a player who had a clear lead in the VNA MVP race before it was on the side, it can make significance.
RIS lost games backwards on the return for the first (and only) time this season without Collier. Since they still go to go 7-3, it is amazing that they could be better than their metric seasons suggest when playoffs begin. When we update the presidential projectors in her regular statistics, it shows that her absence was about 4.5 points for each replacement level, even in a relatively small play sample, and a significant impact level, which was missing In the game she missed in the game that missed in the hospital design of Raptor in accordance with its regular season statistics about 4.5 points.
Look for the Rick to be as powerful as always with armored door and picked up where she stopped.
Status: Out From the 13th. August (Hamstring)
Recording in the absence of games: 10-5
Status: Returned 10. August (knee)
Recording in the absence of games: 7-4
SRS with vs without their absences: +5.94 vs. +7.10
Home Chances after adjustment of rating for their absences: 19.3% compared to 28%
Although CANADA NI HOWARD is at the same level as the Collier or Stewart, the Duo is very good, with projections that are worth 2 points per game compared to the players at the level of replacement in competitions that every missed.
The dream was without and in just one game – win three points 30. July – but are available in 13 of the 38 games. If Canada returns to join Howard for the playoffs, Atlanta should be amplified.
Status: Repaid 12. July (wrist)
Recording in the absence of games: 1-3
SRS with vson without Wilson’s absence: +0,96 vs. +1.47
Home Chances after rating setting for Wilson’s absence: 14.1% compared to 21%
Perhaps even more than Collier, Wilson’s absence illustrates the influence of superstarching supervision on the team season. Wilson missed four games earlier this season (three due to conceals for the concussion in June, then one because of the right joint in July). The project will cost Las Vegas this season almost 20 points of total margin scoring, because Wilson adds league-high 5 net points per game for replacing when playing.
Aces still need to play above their regular rezum season in players – and more like their form 2023. years, when they were in progress VNBA’s goat team – Even after the accounting of Wilson’s short absentives. But it is proof that you cannot count a team that has a talent of MVP levels.
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Played with 34-points A’ja Wilson sends aces 12. Straight victories
A’ja Wilson scores 34 points as Aces wins their 12th straight game.
Status: Repaid 25. August (knee)
Recording in the absence of games: 5-8
Status: Repaid 22. July (ankle)
Recording in the absence of games: 7-5
SRS with vs without their absences: +4.01 vs +5.86
Home Chances after adjustment of rating for their absences: 2% over 8%
Stewart is a single-party statistical absence of VNA Season: 48.5 Net points of the projected margin in relation to replacement in 13 games missing, starting from the end of July. It is no accident, freedom has entered the fall towards stima after the injury to Stewart and they are still trying to recover.
New York is 6-9 with a minus-2.1 PPG differential of 26. July, and its chances of the title are 70% to 2%. And yet with Stewart and Jones healthy after injury to Hamska and ankle since earlier in the year, no teams should improve in their regular statistics for the season more than freedom. It’s just a question of whether their middle side fought them forcing too many trails to defend their crown.
Status: Repaid 11. June (Tele)
Recording in the absence of games: 2-3
Status: Returned 11. June (Back)
Recording in the absence of games: 6-4
SRS with vs without their absences: +3.39 vs. +4.10
Home Chances after adjustment of rating for their absences: 3.6% compared to 7%
Like Wilson and Collier, Thomas is a multi-year candidate VNBA MVP – it is third in the ESPN’s quota and is consistently on the outskirts of Wilson versus Collier conversation. It is not surprising that the five games failed in May and June are designed to cost Phoenix 15.8 points of the total scoring margin this year.
Then there is Mack, who has an incredible defense season of Mercury, with a blocking rate of 7.8%, 2.7% stolen rates, 23.3% defensive recovery speed and improvement 2.7 points in a defensive rating in the team when it is in court. Although it could look strange to include a player who scores of 4.4 points among significant injuries of the season, when you combine Mack’s defense contributions, the alive will be in the playoffs with and healthy, suggesting metrics in the regular season.
Status: From 15. July in July The third part of the missed time (groin)
Recording in the absence of games: 12-13
SRS with vs without their absences: +1.90 vs. +2.46
Home Chances after adjustment of the rating for Clark’s absence: 1.6% compared to 2%
The highest absence of injury to the season, Clark missed five times several matches in 2025. Year, because she had during her High school or college career. As usual, Advanced metrics of the lower The influence of its injuries at the bottom of the Indiana, but fever is 7.5 net points better when it is in court and has an 8-5 record in the games played.
However, there are likely limits to how much Clark is expected that Clark will have to carry their team after she missed most years – especially when it looked rusty last time she came back.
