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Drone strike on the Russian oil refinery
NoelReports via X / Twitter
Russia is facing a shortage of gas, because the refinery after the refinery grows in the flame under the growing bump from Ukrainian drones.
Proof for problem comes from multiple sources. It is illegal to share the drone-attacked drone paint paints, but people still set Videos of explosive refineries. And we start to hear the first runes on Russian social media on the influence of strikes who have everyday life. Putin’s war comes home, and that will affect everything.
Map of recent strikes on Russian oil refineries – Fundraiser here HTTPS: //vvv.help99.co/patches/special-kherson-cat-14th-nafo-camplica
Special Kherson Cat via X / Twitter
According to Russian official statistics, The gas is now on average $ 2.66 per gallon. No one believes those statistics, which in the last month show an increase in almost 3%. The real digit for the average is undoubtedly significantly higher, but it starts to be irrelevant. Because the gas becomes harder to find.
Toward Reports on Russian Social Media Two weeks ago in Sokolski district in Nižni Novgorod several hundred miles east of Moscow, the gas station was completely fueled for several days. The locals rode to adjacent cities to fill cars and fuel cans.
Since then, shortage has spread. Visioner, Twitter Writing / XNotes that the shortage has expanded over ten other areas – Riazan, Nizhny Novgorod, Saratov, Samara, Ulianovsk, Penza, Rostov, Astrakhan, Kalmiki and Tatarstan.
The Institute for Studying War says Russian state media I start openly discussing the lack of gasolineAlthough they often play them and suggest routine causes. At the end of July, Russia has imposed a ban on gasoline exports, allegedly due to the request “summer trips and berchames of grain” According to Reuters.
The ban on export did not work. Fuel rows grows, and the gas is often only available on the black market with Prices are now allegedly reaching a $ 9 gallon. Filling out and the price would be painful enough in us and burning in Russia where the medium wage is About $ 1,200 a month.
There is still a lot of taking even in that rate. Because, though I can only get a filtered news view, Russians can see what happens to the offer. If they don’t buy as much as I can this month, the next month, the price will be even greater and the retrieval of gas will be harder. Some refineries did not send gas for weeks, and the problem is expanding.
Ukraine was Installing Russian oil objects Almost three years. They covered many spectacular and expensive strikes on storage and other locations, but small scope of attacks means that refineries have avoided great damage. Where the refineries are damaged, they soon repaired, so as attacks cost money from Russia, their effects do not feel widely. That changes now.
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In August, a report from Carnegie endowment in charge under the name Can Russia cause fuel crisis caused by Ukrainian drone attacks? He noticed the scale of the Russian industry. The report noted that all attacks were damaged only 20% of the capacity to refine Russia. Even if these refinery cannot be fixed, Russia has enough excess capacity to compensate the disadvantage. Further damage could also be replaced by importing from Belarus.
The Russian government also has other options, including relaxing standards and enabling refineries to sell products outside the class as a motor fuel. Collect, these measures show how much in the system is and why the Hits of Refinery did not have much influence on the pumps before.
But attacks have increased significantly. Analyst Special Herson Cat The meters have a total of 13 hits in August on the objectives by combined capacity of over 110 million tons.
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Richard Woodruff via Twitter / X
Writing 14. Septemberin Igor Sushko 17 strikes in previous 45 days affect 42% of the total number of Russian capacities. They included a high profile effort like the one that hit the NOVO-UFA oil refinery – a capacity of 20 million tons – 13. Septemberin.
29. AugustinRobert ‘Magiar’ Browdi, commander of the unwanted forces of Ukraine, stated that they had RUSSIA FUEL EXHULECTION FORM FOR 20% In just two weeks. The damage can be repaired and the interruption may not be permanent. But the tracking attackers will do more harm. And while fuel tanks can be easily replaced, much of the refining equipment is important and it may be impossible to replace due to sanctions.
I’m worried about the ruse, how the pace of attacks seems to be less effective.
Guess Ulpha Refinery, Ukrainian AJ-22 Fokbats – a converted light aircraft full of explosives – must cross at least 900 miles of Russian airspace Diving in the refinery. This is not a jet of fast speeds and has no concealed ability. But it seems that it managed to reach the goal without disputing.
“What air defense does it work? “- A pandeling cry was converted into mocking memes when Ukrainian drones showed that I can hit targets in the cell in the occupied crime is a key question again.
Radij Khabirov, Regional Governor, He stated the drone attack At Ulfa, claiming that the location was actually defended and that defense counsel fired more than a thousand milling mills (probably small caliber) and 200 heavy milling guns (probably 12.7 mm / 14.5 mm caliber) in attack drones. So, one of the largest oil refineries in Russia is protected perhaps several infantry detachments without any one A rocket needle that was launched on the shoulder between them.
Unfortunately, Khabirov, Russia is a big country and there are many strategic defense installations. The air time has already been exhausted three years of war; Moving in refineries would leave the destruction of the hole elsewhere. Railways, power plants and other locations, as well as air bases and military goals should be protected.
Meanwhile, fire strap in Ukrainian manufacturers say they produce 100 long FP-1 strike on the day a day, or 3,000 per month. Expect far more unmanned attacks forward.
Smart Russian entrepreneurs will be prepared for storing all gas that can buy ahead of more shortages and price prices. Moscow and Saint Petersburg will for now be protected; as One commentator put itPutin will have the rest of the country traveling through a donkey and carts before starting at the base of the fuel in the capital. For the rest of Russia, the problem is real and get worse quickly.