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Pamela Maldonado
Southern Florida is all buzzing in all-florida conflict in Miami this weekend, starting 2: 0 with disturbed victories due to ranked teams.
On paper looks like one of the best starts in program history. But boxing results don’t always speak full story.
Below this first two victories is more, and what reveals could change completely as you can see this team goes to play hurricane.
18 South Florida Bulls In number 5 Miami Hurricanes
Saturday, 16:30 ET, CV Network
Line: Miami -17.5
Money line: Miami (-800), South Florida (+500)
Over / under: 56.5 (O -105, in -115)
Why USFs 2-0 begins looks better than it is
USF is 2: 0 with the upruh wins over 25 Bose and no. 13 Florida, but the beginning looks better on paper than it really. The bulls live from large plays, reversals and opponents more than consistent, sustainable football.
Against Boise, the USA has won 34-7, but the box rating tells a different story. Boise actually had more first falls and controlled possession time. They moved the ball well, but they lost three humps who killed scoring chances.
The USAF hit several explosive passages, on average over 10 meters per attempt, but only 15 first falls to 372 total courtyards. For me, it is said that the bulls rely on the handful plays to put points on the plate, and when those plays are not there, they are fighting to maintain discs and keep the misdemeanor moving.
Florida was the same story in a different way. The USF has drawn a victory from 18-16, but Florida is pain with 11 punishment, key interception and missed opportunities in the red zone. Through both USF games, she forced four reversals, but scored zero points from them, which tells much about their offensive fighting.
Numbers support it. The USF struggle for driving discs has trouble converting to the third, and the defense is just below average. Record 2-0 is real, but domination is not.
Without these opponent’s mistakes (Boise Setup without Ascon Jeanty And Florida showing preseasoned concerns, it could be easy of 0-2 teams.
Why Miami is different from Boise and Florida State
Miami is not a State for Boise or Florida. After a game against Notre Dame, Miami looks like a complete, balanced and disciplined team, which is something that is none of the upset USF victims could not say.
Boise’s loss was about self-destruction, while the loss of Florida was different, but just like messy. The USF did not dominate both Matches from the beginning to complete; They capitalized on mistakes.
Miami feels different. Carson Beck is in its third year as the initial quarterback, it seems to be rejected from 2024 injury. years and in the week and threw 472 yards and four Touchdown against Notre Dame, spread the ball in more weapons, while Mark Fletcher Jr. The balance was added with over 150 rushes on the goats. This offense can beat you in many ways than one.
Most importantly, they play clean football. Against Notre Dame, Miami had only six penalties and zero turns.
Miami can get a number of field, finish in the red zone and protect the ball. Unlike the condition of Boise and Florida, the buckets are unlikely to provide free USP assets or simple points of points.
Betting Prediction: Under 56.5 (-115) 
Through two samples, USF is 114. in an offensive success rate and only 36% turned in third place, which tells you that the bulls are fighting to drive alive. More speaking, despite coercing four reversions against Boise and Florida, scored nurture points. Most of their production comes from several explosive performances, not consistent insults.
Miami’s defense was built to turn it off. Against Notre Dame, hurricanes created three bags and interception. This unit power of the Timora into unpleasant situations and is exactly where USF struggled the most.
Offensive, Miami is balanced and efficient. Between Beck’s passing abilities and foundations in the country of swing, the buckets can control the tempo when they need them. Expect Miami to rely on running, hold the ball and limit the property.
Unless the USF connects on multiple deep recordings, scoring will be difficult for bullocks. I generally do not mess with double-digit wide spreads, so I would rely on Miami -17.5 or aisle, but the conviction is at the floor 56.5. I’d be surprised if USF guesses 17 points. The question is how much Miami will result.
