Sunday 2 NFL best bets, betting analysis, types and props

The value is value, no matter where – or how – you find it. And we will aim to work every week in this area – Find the value.

Ben Solak and Seth Walder bring different perspectives in how they approach sports. Solak relies on his expertise in the evaluation of players and KS and O-to find the edges. Walder relies on statistical models to select a bet of plus the expected value.

These weekly types will not be limited to a specific bet type. From spreading and monet lines to total or even defensive recuses, the good price can be found anywhere.

The results will be monitored throughout the season, with flat bets for one unit for each stated role. As always, there are from the odds of ESPN Bet.

With that, we dive in 2. Sunday.

Note: This file will be updated until Saturday with new bets – including defensive props SETH WALDER – as the odds became available.

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Street for games | Offensive props

Street for games

Buffalo Bills in New York Jets Total points Over 46.5 (-110)

Solak: Two weeks from the highest scoring of one week meet at 2. the week, and I like the way they both furtive in opponent’s defense.

Josh AllenJoe’s Brady and Fried Defense Accounts Aaron Glenn last season with 48 points, and Allen is on average absurd .46 EPA per escort. In the week, the nozzle defense under Glenn looked much the same as his Detroit Lions The defense – played a man in the third highest rate of the week of 1 and gleaming in the seventh priced. Expect Allen to roll over a lot, which we will come to another bet later.

Can autumns throw their way into the game if they are made on accounts? That’s a big question here. Last week, the nozzle had a running rate due to expectations, measured by the following giving statistics of 21.4% – which would be in one game in one game last season. They didn’t want to throw the ball much Justin Fields There’s there and it’s a reasonable plan – but if they’re in an early hole, it might have to.

The good news is to think that I can run it well against Buffalo’s light boxes and nickel staff, such that they will not leave driving, unless they really fill out from the water. It may be worth downloading the first half instead of full game, if you are really worried about the games script – but I am impressed with Jets’ offenses to trust them to contribute to the complete game.

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Philadelphia Eagles in Kansas City Chiefs Total points Less than 46.5 (-105)

Solak: Chiefs mean look surprisingly subject to opening their season against Los Angeles chargersAnd I’m looking for a transition in chiefs in the main games because the season continues and their room returns to health – but not this week. Eagles remain one of the most difficult treadmill for expectations – especially with Jalen Hurts Scrolling on the robe of 24% of its prayer in 1. The week – and as such encourages the hour of work. With Xavier worth It is probably set for this game, the chiefs lack large threats and a project to move the ball methodically while dealing with Juju Smith-Schuster and Travis Kelce.

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Tennessee Titans +5.5 (-110) vs. Los Angeles Rams

Solak: I was a believer in the Titan’s pre-mail, and after I dropped an emissive Winnable game against a heavy Denver Broncos Squad, I support them for their house opener against rams. Both Home Guards for Los Angeles, Kevin Dotson and Steve AvilaIt is expected to miss this game. It is a huge agreement against the defensive line of the buttons Jefferi Simmons and T’vondre sweatWhat is currently an easy top duo in the league. OVNI misdemeanor feasts from poor segari, but Tennessee is one of the best.

Previous titanium protection and the driver’s game suffered from Denver’s burdened marital and heavy packages of Blitz, while the defense line of the RAM’s strength, it is below Denver. I love Rookie KB Cam ward to have a calmer game at home and for Calvin Ridley Not to fall as much first falls (three!) As per week 1. Titans retain this close – and I will sleep a little bit on the line of money.

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Seattle Seahawks in Pittsburgh Steelers Total points Below 39.5 (-105)

Solak: The Power of Steelers may be my strongest week 2 faded. Poor Aaron Rodgers She led the league in a throw behind the recording line in 1. The week, but she had a third highest number of explosives. It’s just not sustainable. Jets secondary had tons of covered coverage; It doesn’t happen in Mike McDonald Defense. It will also be far harder to interpret the pre-smaller image of severe defense in Seattle in relation to access to jet and reproduction of dishes, and it is its only remaining superpower, and its mobility has remarked its mobility.

The offensive approach to Seattle was peculiar in 1. The week – a little playback, a lot of empty sets – and I bang some concerns come out with a different game plan at 2. Week. But this steelers defensive line has enough talent advantages over the Seahawks group where I think Seattle is fighting to cross the ball.

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Offensive player for players

Josh Allen to set 35+ Jaridara haste (-110)

Solak: Stilistic, this is a kind of defense against which Allen has stopped pocket ton and can reach this number only a few attempts if he removes the large. But Jets secondary really fought on Sunday 1 crossing routes and adapting to movement; Their solution of the space is also remaining a lot to want. The bills of accounts should be cruising.

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Tyrone Tracy Jr. go Over 2.5 receptions (even)

Solak: We’ve seen a big day for Sakuon Barkley through the air against Dallas Cowboys In the week 1, as they chose to play almost nothing but the coverage of the zones against the ORLOV offense. This is indeed disposable, because the new defense coordinator Matt Eberflus was always one of the defensive coaches of the most zone, and accordingly, initiating goals and receipts facing him.

At first sight, it looks like a lane (three receptions on Sunday 1) is not much more switching back over Nokia Cam Tax (Two receptions). But Skattebo is that those two grapped only three routes, while the lane was Rated 25 routes. If the giants are re-putting – a reasonable expectation of 5.5 points widespread – then it should see a decent calculation strength. I take And over 3.5 receptions (+275).

Walder: We went two for two on this in the week, so let’s move on. The idea here is simple: from the beginning last season, starting catches to return to 10% of men’s play, but at 15% playing zones. So, my theory is that it is not entirely baked in the betting line, so I’m aiming to the inver against teams for covering zones and called against teams on human coverage.

Last week in her first game as cowboys is a defensive coordinator, covering almost an unheard of 86% drop, leading all teams in 1. The week (s) of the tenth season coverage views at the regular season from the beginning last season). The user is at 2. The week should be the lane (and maybe Cam Skattebo also).

It is also worth considering:

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Kaishon Boutte to set 100+ entrance yards (+850)

Walder: There are two ways that this can be a great bet. First, what if Boutta we’ve seen in the week 1 just a real deal? Hell, what if Boutte is in the last three matches 2024 and week 1 – when he got a combined 2.8 meters on the route! – Is it a real deal? If this is the case, the profit +850 on a 100 yard match looks pretty good. But then this is: Boutte is an extreme vertical threat. Without a wide receiver with at least 20 routes a week 1 ran a higher route rate and deep fade from Boutte (40%). What does that mean is that its outcome is in law more likely than most delivery. And that is a big reason why my model – which costs this procedure at +537 – likes on this alternative line.

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Cooper table to set 40+ entrance yards (+120)

Walder: I return to a well with the bath after I lost on a larger line of his last week. Kupp’s debut as Seahawk was disappointing, without a doubt about it. Three targets, two receptions, 15 meters. But there was a single encouraging number: he was on the field at 88% of the team of the team. That’s for me, why it’s worth keeping the line on it.

From the model perspective: this is a player whose average line of PRP last year was 66.8. Even in a new violation of a different quartz and a year old, it should be plus-money to get 40 meters. KUPP -165 makes it guess this number.

Until I think that the model is completely handled, you change the stakes perfectly, directed I’m ready to trust him.

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Josh Allen Under 0.5 intercepts (-130)

Walder: The ideal combination of interception avoids is a qualver that does not throw many choices whose team is a difficult favor. And look what we have here! Since the beginning last season, Allen has 0.9% of the descendations (including playoffs), which is basically half of the league average and a 6.5-point area of ​​the Favorites on the jets. Accounts should not purify purifically if they go to guidance and when Alen passes, it should be able to limit his risks, given an opponent. My model prices this under back to -154.

Daniel Jones to throw 1+ interception (+120)

Solak: Daniel Jones was impressive in his week 1 Colts Debit, but this number should not be plus money. For one, the colts were actually fairly Padbac-difficult in the week of 1 against Miami Dolphins When you adjust to the script. In the first half, they had run rate due to expectations of only + 2.8% – above the average average of league. They called in 58.1% of their possibilities. In the designed neutral script against Broncos, we could see that the overall rise rate falls.

Then we have differences in the caliber of the passage. It is not exaggerating that on Sunday 1 and now facing the lower-three transient defenses at the bottom and now they are facing the first defense on Sunday. Given Jones, it is still still half of the training camp in training Richardson.