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Belarus President Aleksandar Lukashenko welcomes Prior to Serving During Joint Russian-Belarusian Military Exercises West-2017. The west 2025 starts 12. September. (Photo Sergei Gapon / AFP) (Photo Sergei Gapon / AFP via Getti Images)
AFP via Getty Images
It seems that Moscow is bent on escalating tension against western time around the sensitive time of Russian shaming drones in Poland, and the upcoming joint military exercises of Russia-Belarus called West (12. – 16. September) at Belarusian, Cymbaled about 13,000 soldiers. They tend to exercise with some regularity from the first in 2009. Years. It was 2021. Before the invasion of Ukraine included 200,000 soldiers. Every time the loud conversation erupts in the west due to the threat of the new hatch of the Pie against Ukraine through Belarus.
The threat never materialized, no doubt because other countries participate even though in small numbers and mostly as observers. Main, however, Belarus Stronman Lukashenko is Loth to risk his sinekura by moving in what would be a very unpopular venture of war, not least among the armed forces. So, the ritual west is just that, a ritual, mainly as a show of solidarity world, not unlike the Shanghai organization organization for photographs for photography cooperation.
However, then it should not be concluded that Belarus is not a threat to Ukraine or it does not help Russian war efforts on any specific or significant way. Quite reverse. Belarus acts as a secondary weapon production center and with Chinese and Iran arms industries. It is difficult to follow, it is difficult to know how much this in Ukraine reaches fronts in Ukraine. Some data exist, however, an adumbration of reality.
From the beginning of the Russian invasion on Ukraine, Belarus appeared on the key online military industrial partnerships from Moscow to Minska, Tehran, and even Beijing. Since January 2022- January 2023. years, 130,582 tons of ammunition It is delivered from Belarus to Russian control. With volumes, they drastically increase after full invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. years, in less than three years, the Belaruscious Economy has become more and more Slowly in Russia– Of 40-50% of exports before 2021. to 60-70% to mid 2023. years, greater than 90% in some sectors.
In addition to ammunition, military export from Belarus in Russia turn on:
-Food platforms and vehicles
– Ontlich industrial goods
-Progotivity
-Prosical materials
-Rarder and optical electronics
The two nations reached an unprecedented level of strategic partnership in a military sphere, unprecedented President Lushnogkov’s own account In the Council of the Federation of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation this March.
“The experience of the Soviet Union confirmed: only strong, economically capable states and unions are taken into account. Nobody will show us kindness. That’s why President Putin and I agreed to defend my mutual homeland.”
This partnership includes a tactical nuclear weapon from Russia. The last Hypical weapons complexes oreshnik were already transferred to Belarus and will soon be put in service.
The role of Belarus stretches outside its own factories: serves as a connection, connecting Moscow to cute nations that may not want to publicly give their business. According to Ukrainian Intelligence Intelligence, Russia has ordered more than 2,400 Drone From Iran, which regularly attacks the infrastructure and civilian facilities in Ukraine
Russia considers the possibility of establishing the production of unmanned air vehicles Shahed type in Belarus. The complete Iranian Iranian UAV in Belarus helps the Russian Federation to resolve logist problems transporting drones from Iran. Iran denied the provision of Russia with a war in Ukraine.
Meanwhile, Belarusian trade traffic in Belarus has risen triple 2021 to 2022.
In a Meeting with Iran The first vice president of Mohammad Mokhber, Lukashenko gave his support for Iran against those “enemy” Western Force. “Our answer is clear: We need to cooperate more closely with each other, cooperate together and resist these hostile actions,” he said.
During the military parade, 17. April 2024. On the occasion of the National Army Day, Iran presented a new version of the newly developed Bavar-373 anti-revelated rocket system installed on Chassis a MZKT-791300 TRUCK 8K8 produced in Belarus.
No public available sources determine the monetary value of weapons or military equipment traded by Belarus and Iran.
As stated above Chinese weapons production also appears in Belarus.
Of at least 2022, The Chinese company Shenzhen 5G was a broker for Belarus Defense Fileng. Engines, sensors and optics from Chinese, Japanese and Taiwanese manufacturers pass through Pelenng to Russian fronts.
The American vault Describes Peleng as a “exclusive supplier of fire-fighting systems for large lines of Russian tanks”.
Modern military supply chains are often multiplying and confusingly synthesized product of multinational sources. It is against that 49% in state-owned peleng and immediate impact on Ukrainian conflict rare exception. It is an unusual example of Belarus visible, which in publicly recognizes the neck in publicly recognizable.
Chinese cooperation in the Belarus Supply, is also a rather obvious way of signing their participation in the conflict, a far cry from its official attitude of Beijing’s official neutrality point of view.
So why such investment in the Military Partnership Belarus? For Moscow, Belarus is a series of Ukrainian troops along the northern border, even if the complete war from Belarus is unlikely. It channels ammunition and supply in Russia through less visible routes, while doubling as a safe warehouse for rockets and grenades outside the array of Ukrainian shocks, at least while Belarus remains beyond direct hostilities. This warehouse effect can also explain the Iranian interests. It is to say, Belarus offers an extraordinary location for vulnerable countries like Iran to warehouse weapons in a safe place (away from Israeli shock). And of course, there is simply a matter of avoiding sanctions. As a channel for limited components and technology, Belarus serves as a useful station for quiet sanctions. In all these ways, Belarus takes a unique political space, a small, but active, and yet somehow the untouchable agent in the Russian war machine.