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Economists on Stanford The university was still finding the strongest evidence artificial intelligence begins to eliminate certain jobs. But the story is not as simple: although younger workers replace AI in some industries, more experienced workers see new opportunities that appear.
Erik Brinjolfsson, Professor at Stanford University, Ruju Chen, Research Scientist and Bharat Chandar, postgraduate student, the largest salary provider, from the end of 2022. years, when Chatggpt debuted, until mid 2025. Years.
Researchers discovered several strong signals In the data – especially that the adoption of generative AI coincided with the reduction of the possibility of hiring younger workers in sectors previously identified as particularly vulnerable to AI-AI-powered automation (You think that customer service and software development). In these industries, they found a decline of 16 percent of employee employment from 22 to 25 years.
The new study reveals a nuanced image of AI’s influence on work. While progressing artificial intelligence They often followed hard predictions that jobs were removed – there was not much data to support him. Relative unemployment for young graduates, for example, it began to deal in 2009. years, but before the current AI wave. And areas that could look vulnerable to AI, such as translation, they actually saw the growth of jobs in recent years.
“It’s always difficult to know (what happens) if you only look at a particular company or hearing anecdotes,” says Brinjolfsson. “So we wanted to observe that much.”
Comes through payroll information, Tim Stanford found that AI’s influence has more to do with workers’ experience and expertise than the type of work they work. More experienced employees in industries in which general AI are insulated from displacement of work, with opportunities or remaining flat or slightly growing ones. The finding supported what previously some software developers told me about AI’s influence on their industry– He must have rotated, repeating the job, like writing a connection code to the API, has become easier to automate. Stanford studios also indicates that AI eliminates jobs, but at least so far does not reduce salaries.
Researchers considered potentially confusing factors, including a whopping pandemic, increase of remote work and recent convening technical sector. They found that AI has an impact even when accounting for these factors.
Brinjolfsson says the study offers a lesson to maximize the benefits of AI across the economy. He has long suggested that the government could change the tax system so that it does not reward companies that replace the workforce with automation. It also proposes that AI companies are developing systems that determine the priority by cooperating the human machine.
Brinjolfsson and another Stanford Scientist, Andrew Haupt, in June, claimed in the work And companies should develop a new “centaur” and reference values This measure human associate, to encourage more focus on increasing, not automation. “I think there are still a lot of tasks in which people and machines can surpass (and independently),” says Brinjolfsson.
Some experts believe that more cooperation between people and ai could be a characteristic of a future labor market. Matt Beane, an associate professor at UC Santa Barbara who studies AI automation, says that and flourishes to create demand for increasing working hours – because management AI is becoming increasingly important. “We will automate as much as we can,” Beane says. “But that doesn’t mean there will be no growing mountains for people left for people.”
And it still progressed, and Brinjolfsson warns that influence on younger workers could expand to those with more experience. “What we have to do is create a system of early warning on the control panel to help follow this in real time,” he says. “This is a very consequential technology.”
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