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For the third time this year, Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Greener will face in the main final, in the US open Sunday (at 14.00 and yes; ABC).
Alcaraz won French Open in June, while the sinner won Vimbledon in July (earlier during the year, Australian Open, in the final against Aleksandar Zverev).
Will the sinner win their fourth main strife victory in a row? Or will Alcaraz follow his open title 2022. Years?
Our experts strive for each to pull the victory.
What can Alcaraz do to win a sinner?
D’ARCI Maine: Alcaraz had a phenomenal tournament and is the first man who arrived at the US Open Final without losing a set since Roger Federer In 2015 years. He openly discussed his desire for consistency and maintaining his level and focusing in progress, and so far he did just that.
He also brought a significant effort to improve his serving this season and, Sheesh, What weapon has become. In its 84 service games, this tournament won everything except two. All but two!
Against Djokovic, probably the biggest man tennis player is all time, threw the service only once. Despite the outcome of flat installation in that semifinal, Alcaraz was infinitely impeccable – and for a moment seemed to rattle red, Pro-Djokovic crowd – but his service (who dragged in seven ASA) that he was still involved.
In order to beat a often unwavering sinner, it will have to bring all that consistency and focuses, in addition to its incredible diversity and continue with its serving. Always a show that seems to be progressing when the lights are brightest, and the crowds are their most disconnected, Alcaraz has everything that needs to win a big name no. 6 on Sunday. Will he? Well, that could be another story.
Bill Connelli: My answer is the same as before French open and Vimbledonon finals: go big. When Alcaraz guesses winners to 20% of his points against sinners, he wins. In the last three sets of French open, the open finale was hit in the last three sets, but was only 15.9% in mostly immediate losses in Vimbledon. He was in full control to the US Open, avoiding mistakes and still strikes at 19.8% of its points and it is possible that more controlled version of Alcarase needs to hit only 18% or 19% of the winners against sinners. No matter what he must take his footage because the sinful defenses and the court coverage is too good, and he will grind you if you don’t finish points when you get a chance.
Simon Cambers: The dynamics of Greener-Alcaraz rivalry changed thanks to Vinner’s victory in the Wimbledon final. After winning six in a row, Alcaraz had to find a way to stop the sinner, which was supposed to win the French open and won him on Vimbledon.
It’s pretty simple: Alcaraz must serve well. Ignoring their match in Cincinnati last month, which is difficult to count, because the sinner left after five games due to the disease, on their six previous matches, the first percentage of service was crucial. In four of them, Alcaraz served at 60% or better and won 50% of points or more at the second service in five of six. The only one who lost – Wimbledon Final – on the first service was up to 53%. It was open to this, was 60% or better in five of his six matches. If he can play such a percentage, then he will allow him to attack the rest of his game.
What can a sinner do to beat Alcaraz?
Maine: Well, first and most importantly, the sinner must stay healthy. The viral disease caused a sinner to withdraw from his final in Cincinnati last month after only five games, and the world should also have been a medical distance time on Friday night, because it seemed to be a right injury.
After the game, he said it was “nothing too bad” and “nothing too serious,” but he will make sure it is in line with the dynamic Alcarase. Greener was everything, but invincible in the hard court in the last two seasons. It will have to lean on that comfort and trust on the surface, as well as its powerful striking, the ability to dictate point and, good, paraphrasing Alexander BublikHis fourth opponent, his ability similar to the game to read the game and answer all about everything.
If he can bring his best level – the one we saw countless times before – feels like it has a mild edge.
Connelli: Land first service (or go to another). During the past year, the sinner and Alcaraz won about 42% of their return points – basically related to the best average in the world. In spite of being played Reilly Opelka and Arthur Rinderknech (who both conquer at least 65% of their services) in the early round and Novak Djokovic (70%) In the semifinals, Alcaraz won about 43% of its return points in this tournament. It’s great when you adjust to the competition.
But he also won 56% of the return points of another serving. It was broken serving 27 times in six matches and 18 sets. It is directed in its return game, and if the sinner cannot command an advantage enough, it will be terribly difficult to creases preference elsewhere.
Cambers: Lots like my answer to the first question, the sinner also needs good to serve. In their Roland Garros and Beijing, it was below 60% on the first service, which suits too much pressure on his second and allows Alcaraza to take control since his return. More importantly, however, the sinner must physically be physically at 100 percent; By the way, Alcaraz will knock him down. He says he was fine after his medical interface, but that little hint of vulnerability will not pass in careless Alcaraz, which can try to extend the gatherings when it can test Italian fitness. Greener is the best player in the world for a reason: he can maintain an incredible level during the game, regardless of the opponent. If there are doubts at all, internally, he must start strongly.
Who will win?
Maine: I am extremely tempted to transfer the coin here, but fortunately, I never had the money for me. Alcaraz, charismatic dynamo, impressed me throughout the tournament of his dosing and his dominations for serving and progress and sinners, clinical technicians, was just as solid and stable. Even when you obviously don’t feel his best Friday, he dug deep and found a way to win against a horrible opponent in Happy Auger-Aliassime. I really think that could go in any way, but for a moment anyway, let’s go a sinner in five sets.
Connelli: A few months ago, it was easy to assume that Alcaraz had an advantage on natural surfaces and sinners had an edge on hard courts. But then the sinner came to a point of beating alcarases on clay and took him with relative ease (standards of this rivalry) on the grass. Did that signify a semi-permanent edge for a sinner? Or absolute ruthlessness of Alcaraz in six matches in New York suggests that they will soon turn the tables back?
I go with sinners here in four here – it is difficult to choose against a guy who won 27 equal matches on hard courts – but wow, does Alcaraz have good. I almost hope to make mistakes and that this rivalry still defies our assumptions.
Cambers: I would say that the sinner will definitely win, that there were no two things: one, medical interruption he took in Semis and the fact that his preparations arrived affected the disease that suffered in Cincinnati.
So few among these two, they know each other inside and usually reveal the best in each other, so we can expect more incredible. Sometimes it comes down to a feeling of intestine, and it just feels like Alcaraz has the edge, at least in the form of the last two weeks. If he can avoid occasional dips in the form that sometimes suffers, his great point is greater than sinners. I’m going to Alcaraz in four heavy sets.
